Two big shifts before tonight's four Game 5s. Utah Mammoth beat Vegas 4-3 in Salt Lake City to take a commanding 3-1 series lead and put the Pacific Division champs on the brink. Pittsburgh stole Game 5 at PPG Paints Arena 3-2 (Letang go-ahead at 17:12 of the second; Silovs 18 saves) to cut Philadelphia's series lead to 3-2 and force Game 6. Tonight's slate (4/28) has four Game 5s: Buffalo @ Boston (BUF leads 3-1), Anaheim @ Edmonton (ANA leads 3-1), Tampa Bay @ Montreal (tied 2-2), Dallas @ Minnesota (tied 2-2). Our Stanley Cup model now has Vegas down to 2.6% Cup probability (from 6.1%) and Utah up to 6.4% (from 4.7%).
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